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Red96
463925.1
76918.7
62443.6
Blue80
384740.8
582917.2
88198.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7862401001209680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
43.61.4
40.742.1
Auto13.3
Teleop22.7
End7.6
red by 2.8
40.80.8
38.539.3
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Second
4639
#10
25.11.4
23.124.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
red by 7.9
17.20.8
14.915.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End5.5
Third
7691
#24
8.71.6
7.18.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 0.2
8819
#23
8.80.8
6.57.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned