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Red40
543114.0
268912.5
87103.6
Blue91
62432.3
288126.7
618010.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28450204060801004091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#18
14.01.3
12.914.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.1
blue by 18.3
624
#3
32.34.8
15.520.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End7.0
Second
2689
#19
12.51.3
12.313.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 14.2
26.74.8
15.620.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End10.1
Third
8710
#39
3.61.3
3.34.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop2.1
End2.1
blue by 7.1
6180
#16
10.64.8
9.013.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned