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Red5
541711.1
246815.2
87697.8
Blue15
380212.9
29507.7
87495.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43260206080100515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#10
15.23.7
21.117.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End5.6
red by 2.3
12.92.2
9.47.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Second
5417
#23
11.13.7
6.93.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 3.5
2950
#14
7.72.2
9.87.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Third
8769
#33
7.83.7
10.36.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End1.0
red by 2.2
8749
#27
5.62.2
7.55.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed