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Red31
852813.5
543114.0
268724.8
Blue103
331037.4
62432.3
541711.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50482040608010031103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.7
18.616.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End7.9
blue by 12.6
37.46.4
23.229.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End10.3
Second
5431
#18
14.01.7
14.212.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.1
blue by 18.3
624
#3
32.36.4
20.326.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End7.0
Third
13.51.7
13.611.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End2.0
red by 2.3
5417
#23
11.16.4
1.78.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsEarned