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Red31
284816.5
88588.6
85561.3
Blue12
68306.9
47170.9
84054.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271302030405060703112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#17
16.50.8
12.813.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End7.3
red by 9.6
6830
#34
6.90.6
5.44.7
Auto1.2
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Second
8858
#25
8.60.8
4.35.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End4.4
red by 4.3
8405
#40
4.20.6
2.41.7
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.4
End3.1
Third
8556
#22
1.30.8
6.27.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
red by 0.4
4717
#32
0.90.6
6.05.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop0.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed