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Red51
85561.3
288126.7
246815.2
Blue4
88425.8
87103.6
52127.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49170103040607080514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.8
24.825.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End10.1
red by 18.9
5212
#28
7.81.6
7.86.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.0
Second
2468
#10
15.20.8
14.214.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End5.6
red by 9.3
8842
#26
5.81.5
7.76.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Third
8556
#22
1.30.8
3.34.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
blue by 2.3
8710
#39
3.61.6
4.93.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned6%Hangar oddsMissed