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Red21
87697.8
43648.4
52429.1
Blue49
284816.5
637716.3
852813.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215104060802149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#36
9.10.2
9.29.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 7.4
2848
#17
16.50.3
16.115.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End7.3
Second
4364
#30
8.40.2
6.36.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End3.7
blue by 7.9
6377
#20
16.30.3
14.314.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
8769
#33
7.80.2
7.77.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 5.7
13.50.3
13.413.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsEarned