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Red49
561311.4
52127.8
288126.7
Blue38
87495.6
246815.2
852813.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483301020406070804938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.1
25.625.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End10.1
red by 11.6
2468
#10
15.20.4
14.915.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End5.6
Second
11.40.1
11.411.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 2.1
13.50.4
13.113.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Third
5212
#28
7.80.2
6.26.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.0
red by 2.2
8749
#27
5.60.4
4.55.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed