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Red67
147717.7
300523.5
543114.0
Blue43
284816.5
43648.4
87103.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5722040806743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#11
23.51.4
21.522.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End6.9
red by 7.0
2848
#17
16.50.1
15.916.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End7.3
Second
17.71.4
13.615.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
red by 9.4
4364
#30
8.40.1
6.16.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End3.7
Third
5431
#18
14.01.4
14.315.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.1
red by 10.4
8710
#39
3.60.1
3.33.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed