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Red18
88795.1
88425.8
380212.9
Blue41
268724.8
29694.6
27149.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243801020305060701841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.5
12.712.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 11.9
24.80.6
22.823.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End7.9
Second
8842
#26
5.80.5
6.35.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 4.0
2714
#13
9.80.6
7.48.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Third
8879
#24
5.10.5
5.24.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End1.5
red by 0.5
2969
#38
4.60.6
4.04.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned