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Red33
87495.6
147717.7
61717.2
Blue32
36765.3
637716.3
87103.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2826102040503332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.5
15.115.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
red by 1.4
6377
#20
16.30.5
15.616.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Second
6171
#35
7.20.5
6.46.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End2.9
red by 1.9
3676
#29
5.30.6
5.56.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End2.2
Third
8749
#27
5.60.5
5.05.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End1.6
red by 2.0
8710
#39
3.60.6
3.54.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed