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Red40
593312.1
29727.7
324320.7
Blue49
72439.2
316615.9
494418.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020305060704049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3243
#21
20.70.2
17.317.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End9.1
red by 1.9
4944
#20
18.90.5
16.817.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.1
Second
5933
#18
12.10.1
13.613.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End7.7
blue by 3.8
3166
#15
15.90.7
12.513.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End5.9
Third
2972
#32
7.70.1
7.37.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 1.5
7243
#37
9.20.5
8.38.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed