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Red60
133218.8
743611.4
790616.5
Blue70
507119.9
79054.9
546827.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43502060801006070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1332
#16
18.81.2
17.218.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End6.0
blue by 8.6
27.50.8
24.425.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.0
End11.4
Second
7906
#25
16.51.8
13.415.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End8.2
blue by 3.3
5071
#12
19.91.1
17.618.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End11.0
Third
11.41.8
10.912.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End4.5
red by 6.5
7905
#39
4.91.1
4.15.2
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned