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Red55
789510.9
300612.4
641116.4
Blue25
88853.4
364819.2
328814.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060805525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#27
16.41.0
15.716.7
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End4.5
blue by 2.8
3648
#14
19.21.2
19.418.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End3.9
Second
3006
#22
12.40.7
12.212.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.3
End8.2
blue by 1.5
3288
#30
14.01.5
14.212.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End5.9
Third
7895
#36
10.90.7
12.012.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End5.7
red by 7.6
8885
#33
3.41.5
4.83.3
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed