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Red50
190818.3
54010.8
572426.5
Blue31
97714.9
40114.2
6178.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44270204060805031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.2
17.919.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 11.6
977
#8
14.90.3
11.111.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End7.1
Second
18.31.2
14.315.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End4.0
red by 4.1
401
#12
14.20.3
8.08.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
540
#16
10.81.2
7.28.4
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End2.2
red by 2.6
617
#14
8.10.3
8.79.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed