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Red20
55464.1
42214.8
428611.0
Blue18
28904.8
161016.7
21068.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363720253040455055602018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
14.81.5
13.111.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.7
blue by 1.9
1610
#10
16.71.9
15.813.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Second
11.01.5
11.49.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End5.0
red by 2.1
2106
#11
8.91.9
9.98.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Third
5546
#17
4.11.5
9.37.8
Auto2.0
Teleop0.9
End1.1
blue by 0.8
2890
#18
4.81.9
9.27.3
Auto0.0
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed