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Red40
580421.1
61949.6
42214.8
Blue20
40114.2
680214.8
54010.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33360102040506070804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.9
14.615.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End10.0
red by 6.2
14.81.9
13.611.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End3.9
Second
422
#4
14.80.9
9.610.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.7
red by 0.6
401
#12
14.21.9
10.88.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
6194
#15
9.60.9
7.48.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End3.8
blue by 1.2
540
#16DQ
10.81.9
9.17.2
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed