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Red35
428611.0
6178.1
161016.7
Blue21
55464.1
313611.1
126217.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3831010205060703521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#10
16.70.4
14.914.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.1
blue by 0.4
17.11.0
11.810.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End3.6
Second
11.00.4
10.410.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End5.0
blue by 0.2
3136
#13
11.11.0
6.55.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.9
Third
617
#14
8.10.4
9.69.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End1.8
red by 4.1
5546
#17
4.11.0
11.510.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed