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Red70
428615.3
126225.3
313622.8
Blue62
179311.3
393918.8
38427.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59492040801007062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.1
20.621.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
blue by 2.2
384
#3
27.61.0
20.020.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
22.81.1
18.119.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End5.0
red by 4.0
18.81.0
16.917.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End5.2
Third
15.31.1
15.216.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
red by 4.0
1793
#11
11.31.6
10.612.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned