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Red11
618911.5
53911.8
61710.4
Blue43
38427.6
393918.8
29986.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31450204060801143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#13
11.82.2
10.68.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 15.7
384
#3
27.60.2
19.820.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
6189
#12
11.52.2
11.79.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 7.3
18.80.2
16.716.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End5.2
Third
617
#17
10.41.3
8.87.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 4.1
2998
#15
6.30.1
4.34.4
Auto1.0
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed