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Red98
161022.8
236351.3
59544.2
Blue64
190825.5
210616.5
61896.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions883402060801001201409864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.7
53.053.7
Auto14.9
Teleop32.0
End4.5
red by 25.8
25.51.7
21.623.2
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
22.80.9
20.121.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End3.8
red by 6.3
2106
#10
16.51.7
7.99.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End6.3
Third
5954
#16
4.20.7
2.73.4
Auto0.0
Teleop1.7
End2.6
blue by 2.2
6189
#19
6.41.7
9.711.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsEarned