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Red40
327416.0
42222.6
686312.2
Blue90
40125.0
337313.8
108624.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32460102040607080904090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#8
22.60.5
15.315.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End7.4
blue by 2.3
401
#1
25.03.2
18.221.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End8.2
Second
16.00.6
10.911.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.7
blue by 8.8
24.73.2
18.721.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Third
6863
#14
12.20.9
6.06.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 1.6
13.83.2
4.77.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned