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Red74
42222.6
686312.2
97719.0
Blue75
159925.5
327416.0
190825.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5073204060801001207475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#8
22.60.8
22.223.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End7.4
blue by 2.9
25.50.6
25.626.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
977
#13
19.00.8
16.417.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End8.4
blue by 6.5
25.50.6
25.426.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End10.1
Third
6863
#14
12.21.2
11.212.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 3.8
16.00.6
14.314.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned