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Red37
68824.7
179310.3
742919.4
Blue45
108624.7
61896.4
337313.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36512060801003745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7429
#12
19.40.1
20.320.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
blue by 5.4
24.70.1
24.724.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Second
1793
#17
10.30.1
10.410.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End3.0
blue by 3.5
13.80.1
13.413.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End8.4
Third
6882
#18
4.70.1
5.25.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
blue by 1.8
6189
#19
6.40.1
8.08.0
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned