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Red115
580428.5
108626.8
83642.2
Blue30
202812.9
859010.5
90019.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10545015020011530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#5
42.21.3
39.540.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.9
red by 22.3
900
Unranked
19.91.5
22.120.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End7.7
Second
28.51.3
26.728.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End10.9
red by 15.5
2028
Unranked
12.91.5
14.112.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
1086
Unranked
26.81.3
24.625.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.9
End6.7
red by 16.3
8590
Unranked
10.51.5
12.811.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed