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Qual 242022 Rumble in the Roads
Red72
97721.8
264225.5
33599.6
Blue95
12222.2
42232.3
38433.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459601507295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
Unranked
25.51.6
23.5→25.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End8.2
blue by 8.2
384
#3
33.70.6
30.5→31.0
Auto9.1
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Second
977
#7
21.81.6
17.6→19.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End8.9
blue by 10.5
422
#2
32.30.6
31.3→31.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End10.0
Third
3359
Unranked
9.61.6
7.1→8.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End3.7
blue by 12.6
122
Unranked
22.20.6
20.9→21.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsMissed