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Red54
33599.6
83642.2
190824.5
Blue57
17939.8
161026.2
580428.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86750501001502005457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#5
42.21.7
41.840.1
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.9
red by 13.7
28.51.3
33.632.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End10.9
Second
1908
Unranked
24.51.7
29.327.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 1.7
26.21.3
28.126.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End4.2
Third
3359
Unranked
9.61.7
8.26.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End3.7
blue by 0.2
9.81.3
10.39.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsMissed