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Red93
42232.3
108626.8
40138.5
Blue49
236337.8
12222.2
90019.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979650607080901001101209349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#1
38.50.3
31.231.5
Auto10.4
Teleop19.5
End8.8
red by 0.7
2363
Unranked
37.82.8
40.037.2
Auto12.4
Teleop23.4
End2.0
Second
422
#2
32.30.3
30.630.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End10.0
red by 10.2
122
Unranked
22.22.8
24.321.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Third
1086
Unranked
26.80.3
27.027.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.9
End6.7
red by 6.9
900
Unranked
19.92.8
27.324.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsMissed