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Red50
52959.7
9499.3
635016.7
Blue29
491812.9
20977.7
445012.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323410204050605029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.71.3
13.114.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End9.2
red by 3.8
4918
#11
12.90.3
12.512.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End5.2
Second
5295
#18
9.71.3
11.012.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 2.3
4450
#23
12.00.2
11.010.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Third
949
#16
9.31.3
6.07.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.9
red by 1.6
2097
#30
7.70.3
8.07.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed