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Red70
48828.8
378621.9
83036.4
Blue30
94815.2
387610.4
83028.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5721040801001207030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#5
28.81.4
26.427.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End14.3
red by 13.7
948
#9
15.20.4
10.310.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.2
Second
21.91.4
14.115.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End4.0
red by 11.5
3876
#26
10.40.4
9.29.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.1
Third
8303
#20
6.42.4
8.210.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 1.8
8302
#19
8.30.7
4.55.2
Auto1.3
Teleop3.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned6%Hangar oddsMissed