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Red39
635016.7
387610.4
88967.3
Blue57
413116.8
59378.4
36031.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264402060801003957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.8
14.415.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End9.2
blue by 14.3
360
#3
31.01.2
22.023.2
Auto12.3
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Second
3876
#26
10.40.8
9.610.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.1
blue by 6.4
16.81.2
12.713.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
8896
#28
7.31.3
3.04.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End1.4
blue by 1.1
5937
#27
8.42.0
4.66.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed