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Red16
491812.9
33935.1
29274.2
Blue59
35887.3
48828.8
297615.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185504060801001659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4918
#11
12.90.9
12.812.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End5.2
blue by 15.9
488
#5
28.80.8
28.629.4
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End14.3
Second
3393
#25
5.10.9
5.54.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 9.9
15.01.1
11.412.5
Auto6.9
Teleop3.8
End4.4
Third
2927
#22
4.20.9
3.32.4
Auto0.8
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 3.1
3588
#13
7.31.1
6.77.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned