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Red32
445012.0
59378.4
88967.3
Blue58
20977.7
387610.4
491522.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254002060803258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#23
12.00.4
12.512.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 10.7
22.71.5
21.122.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Second
5937
#27
8.40.5
6.46.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 2.0
3876
#26
10.41.5
9.110.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.1
Third
8896
#28
7.30.5
6.77.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End1.4
blue by 0.4
2097
#30
7.71.8
5.87.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed