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Red35
129421.7
198322.6
457911.2
Blue46
446918.4
307018.5
32686.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614320801003546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.5
22.622.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End5.9
red by 4.1
18.50.1
18.518.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End4.2
Second
1294
#10
21.70.5
21.621.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End6.4
red by 3.3
4469
#11
18.40.1
18.418.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.5
Third
4579
#19
11.20.5
11.110.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End1.5
red by 5.1
3268
#16
6.00.1
6.06.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End0.5