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Red141
291061.4
204650.6
125811.0
Blue64
129421.7
198322.6
457911.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14345010020014164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.4
61.161.5
Auto16.8
Teleop32.8
End11.8
red by 38.8
22.60.2
22.422.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End5.9
Second
50.60.4
50.250.7
Auto14.3
Teleop24.3
End12.0
red by 28.9
1294
#10
21.70.2
21.521.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End6.4
Third
1258
#18
11.00.4
10.611.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.3
End6.9
blue by 0.2
4579
#19
11.20.2
11.011.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End1.5