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Red57
59412.7
307018.5
321834.2
Blue43
29272.4
131821.7
382624.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59522040801005743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.2
33.333.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End14.2
red by 10.0
3826
#14
24.21.0
22.021.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End5.2
Second
18.50.2
17.717.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End4.2
blue by 3.2
21.71.0
24.423.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End5.6
Third
5941
#21
2.70.2
3.13.3
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.2
End0.0
red by 0.2
2927
#30
2.41.0
3.12.2
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed