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Red45
593715.1
209711.4
41319.9
Blue50
32686.0
491812.9
339310.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382702060804550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.7
11.512.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.4
red by 2.2
4918
#29
12.91.3
11.712.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End5.2
Second
2097
#24
11.40.7
11.912.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.4
red by 1.2
3393
#17
10.21.3
10.111.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Third
4131
#27
9.90.7
11.011.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
red by 3.9
3268
#16
6.01.3
5.36.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed