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Red115
198322.6
297628.9
204650.6
Blue80
291061.4
307018.5
29062.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048540608012014011580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.3
48.650.0
Auto14.3
Teleop24.3
End12.0
blue by 10.9
61.40.2
61.060.8
Auto16.8
Teleop32.8
End11.8
Second
28.91.3
25.026.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
red by 10.4
18.50.2
18.618.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End4.2
Third
22.61.3
21.222.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End5.9
red by 20.1
2906
#28
2.60.2
2.72.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End-1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsMissed