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Red25
457911.2
824813.1
339310.2
Blue64
446918.4
83866.0
321834.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3764020801002564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8248
#12
13.10.9
14.713.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End2.3
blue by 21.0
34.20.5
33.534.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End14.2
Second
4579
#19
11.20.9
12.011.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 7.2
4469
#11
18.40.5
17.918.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.5
Third
3393
#17
10.20.9
11.410.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End1.1
red by 4.2
8386
#22
6.00.5
5.66.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsEarned