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Red101
293042.0
291053.7
558811.8
Blue38
49231.6
408929.5
49185.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121685010015010138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.1
53.553.3
Auto16.2
Teleop26.3
End11.1
red by 22.0
492
#4
31.60.7
32.932.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
Second
42.00.1
41.841.7
Auto11.8
Teleop21.8
End8.3
red by 12.5
29.50.7
30.830.1
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
Third
5588
#19
11.80.1
11.611.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End2.6
red by 6.0
4918
#26
5.80.7
7.16.4
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9