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Red125
293042.0
291053.7
558811.8
Blue42
49231.6
408929.5
49185.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216605010015012542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.3
53.353.7
Auto16.2
Teleop26.3
End11.1
red by 22.0
492
#4
31.60.6
32.231.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
Second
42.00.3
41.742.0
Auto11.8
Teleop21.8
End8.3
red by 12.5
29.50.6
30.129.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
Third
5588
#19
11.80.3
11.511.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End2.6
red by 6.0
4918
#26
5.80.6
6.45.8
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9