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Red59
297626.1
252222.8
241214.6
Blue54
378618.5
418018.2
59379.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734402060801001205954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#11
26.10.1
26.926.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 7.6
3786
#16
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Second
22.80.1
23.623.5
Auto7.7
Teleop6.2
End8.9
red by 4.6
18.20.1
18.118.2
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End4.9
Third
2412
#24
14.60.1
14.714.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 5.6
5937
#17
9.00.1
8.99.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.0