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Red56
49231.6
408929.5
49185.8
Blue36
129417.4
204635.9
9487.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7965020401001201405636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#4
31.60.5
33.532.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
blue by 4.3
35.90.6
36.535.9
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End9.4
Second
29.50.5
31.430.8
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
red by 12.1
1294
#14
17.40.6
18.017.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End7.0
Third
4918
#26
5.80.5
7.67.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9
blue by 1.9
948
#27
7.70.6
8.37.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.5