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Red33
413114.7
255722.2
408929.5
Blue6
241214.6
451218.7
746116.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9391050150200336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.53.6
34.631.0
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
red by 10.8
18.75.3
25.720.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.9
Second
2557
#15
22.23.6
35.632.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.6
red by 6.1
7461
#22
16.15.3
30.925.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Third
14.73.6
17.113.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End4.0
red by 0.1
2412
#24
14.65.3
28.823.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsMissed88%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed