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Red48
49231.6
49185.8
204635.9
Blue73
59379.0
291053.7
82489.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10295501504873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.93.7
51.848.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End9.4
blue by 17.7
53.71.1
61.760.6
Auto16.2
Teleop26.3
End11.1
Second
492
#4
31.63.7
30.426.8
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
red by 22.0
8248
#13
9.71.1
13.111.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Third
4918
#26
5.83.7
12.99.2
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9
blue by 3.2
5937
#17
9.01.1
15.113.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsMissed90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsMissed