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Red65
49231.6
9494.5
255722.2
Blue84
49185.8
451218.7
293042.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656420304050607080906584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#4
31.60.3
27.427.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
blue by 10.4
42.00.7
38.939.6
Auto11.8
Teleop21.8
End8.3
Second
2557
#15
22.20.3
28.328.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.6
red by 3.4
18.70.7
18.118.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.9
Third
949
#30
4.50.3
4.34.6
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End0.5
blue by 1.3
4918
#26
5.80.7
4.24.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsMissed