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Red32
408929.5
82489.7
56837.3
Blue20
44505.1
129417.4
59379.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503502060801003220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.9
27.326.4
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
red by 12.1
1294
#14
17.41.0
16.715.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End7.0
Second
8248
#13
9.70.9
10.810.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.5
red by 0.7
5937
#17
9.01.0
10.09.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Third
5683
#10
7.30.9
6.96.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.4
red by 2.2
4450
#20
5.11.0
8.47.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed