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Red65
252222.8
413114.7
82489.7
Blue42
746116.1
418018.2
56837.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060806542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.4
23.925.3
Auto7.7
Teleop6.2
End8.9
red by 4.6
18.20.0
14.514.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End4.9
Second
14.71.4
11.212.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End4.0
blue by 1.4
7461
#22
16.10.0
17.617.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Third
8248
#13
9.71.4
8.49.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.5
red by 2.3
5683
#10
7.30.0
5.55.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed