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Red66
297626.1
293042.0
32194.3
Blue72
321821.5
408929.5
49185.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74540204060801001206672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.3
38.037.6
Auto11.8
Teleop21.8
End8.3
red by 12.5
29.50.4
28.829.3
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
Second
2976
#11
26.10.3
28.027.6
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 4.6
3218
#12
21.50.4
19.019.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Third
3219
#29
4.30.3
1.20.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.3
blue by 1.5
4918
#26
5.80.4
5.45.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned