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Red40
129417.4
9494.5
241214.6
Blue101
49231.6
59412.2
451218.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344902040608010040101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#14
17.40.4
14.915.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End7.0
blue by 14.2
492
#4
31.63.0
28.731.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
Second
2412
#24
14.60.4
16.016.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 4.1
18.73.0
18.021.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.9
Third
949
#30
4.50.4
3.03.4
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End0.5
red by 2.3
5941
#18
2.23.0
-2.70.3
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned